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Nerd mode: every forecast, readouts, filters and range & bearing for weather enthusiasts

This week’s weatherA Coruña, Spain

Rain is likely in A Coruña on Tuesday

Nearly all of NOAA’s 31 GEFS forecasts bring measurable rain to A Coruña Tue 2–8 p.m. CEST; nearly all bring 2.5 mm or more.

NOAA GEFS, 31 forecasts · Mon 28 Sep 18Z run · updated Tues., Sept. 29, 1:03 a.m. CEST · times are A Coruña’s (CEST)

See it on the globe For warnings, follow your national weather service.

Quick answers

Will it rain in A Coruña this week?
The best chances of measurable rain: Tuesday (nearly all forecasts, 2–8 p.m.); Wednesday (9 in 10 forecasts, 8 a.m.–2 p.m.); Sunday, Oct. 4 (5 in 10 forecasts, 8 p.m.–2 a.m.); Monday, Oct. 5 (6 in 10 forecasts, 2–8 p.m.). Drier: Thu, Fri, Sat (fewer than 2 in 10 forecasts in any six hours). Times are CEST.
How much rain will A Coruña get this week?
By Mon., Oct. 5, 8 p.m. CEST (the end of the forecast), the middle forecast has 24 mm of rain and melted snow, counting from Tue 2 a.m. Nearly all forecasts bring 13 mm or more in total; 5 in 10 forecasts bring 25 mm or more.
How windy will it get in A Coruña?
Gusts over 64 km/h: nearly all forecasts at Tue 2 p.m. CEST. The middle forecast’s strongest gust is 77 km/h, Tue 2 p.m. Checked every six hours, so a brief peak can fall between.
How warm or cold will it be in A Coruña?
At the six-hourly times, the middle forecast runs from 13°C (Thu 8 a.m.) to 22°C (Tue 2 p.m.) CEST. The day’s real high and low can fall between those times.
Are any storms heading for A Coruña?
No storm Stormlines tracks has 1 in 10 forecasts passing its centre within 160 kilometres of A Coruña this week.

Chance of rain, six hours at a time

Tue 2–8 a.m.: 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneTue 8 a.m.–2 p.m.: 6 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast 0.4 mmTue 2–8 p.m.: nearly all forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast 9.4 mmTue 8 p.m.–2 a.m.: nearly all forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast 5.0 mmWed 2–8 a.m.: 6 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast 0.4 mmWed 8 a.m.–2 p.m.: 9 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast 1.0 mmWed 2–8 p.m.: 9 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast 1.0 mmWed 8 p.m.–2 a.m.: 2 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneThu 2–8 a.m.: fewer than 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneThu 8 a.m.–2 p.m.: fewer than 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneThu 2–8 p.m.: fewer than 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneThu 8 p.m.–2 a.m.: fewer than 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneFri 2–8 a.m.: fewer than 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneFri 8 a.m.–2 p.m.: 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneFri 2–8 p.m.: fewer than 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneFri 8 p.m.–2 a.m.: fewer than 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneSat 2–8 a.m.: fewer than 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneSat 8 a.m.–2 p.m.: 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneSat 2–8 p.m.: 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneSat 8 p.m.–2 a.m.: 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneSun 2–8 a.m.: 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneSun 8 a.m.–2 p.m.: 1 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneSun 2–8 p.m.: 4 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneSun 8 p.m.–2 a.m.: 5 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneMon 2–8 a.m.: 2 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneMon 8 a.m.–2 p.m.: 3 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast almost noneMon 2–8 p.m.: 6 in 10 forecasts with measurable rain; middle forecast 0.6 mm

Each bar is the share of the 31 forecasts with measurable rain or melted snow in that six hours; the darker the bar, the more forecasts agree. Local days, CEST.

The week, day by day

DayChance of rain2.5 mm or moreTotal by day’s endStrongest gustTemperature
Tue 29nearly allnearly all15 mm · 7 in 1077 km/h · nearly all >64 km/h17°C–22°C
Wed 309 in 10<1 in 1018 mm · 8 in 1041 km/h16°C–18°C
Thu 1<1 in 10<1 in 1018 mm · 8 in 1035 km/h13°C–18°C
Fri 21 in 10<1 in 1018 mm · 8 in 1040 km/h15°C–19°C
Sat 31 in 10<1 in 1018 mm · 8 in 1039 km/h16°C–20°C
Sun 45 in 102 in 1019 mm · 9 in 1036 km/h17°C–20°C
Mon 5 (part)6 in 101 in 1024 mm · nearly all22 km/h16°C–21°C

Chances are the highest in any six hours of the day. “Total by day’s end” is the middle forecast’s running total since Tue 2 a.m., and the share of forecasts with 13 mm or more by then; totals aren’t added up day by day, because the middle forecast of each day isn’t the same forecast. Gusts and temperatures are read every six hours.

Storms near A Coruña

No storm Stormlines tracks has 1 in 10 forecasts passing its centre near A Coruña this week. Every storm we’re tracking →

About these numbers

They come from one source, NOAA’s Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS): 31 runs of the same model, each started slightly differently, read at A Coruña’s coordinates on a grid about 55 km (35 miles) apart. “8 in 10 forecasts” means 8 in 10 of those runs. Nothing is adjusted for local effects such as coasts, lakes, hills or city heat, so the numbers can differ from your local official forecast, especially for snow and showers.

“Measurable rain” counts rain or melted snow in a six-hour period. Not an official forecast: follow your national weather service for warnings and decisions. How the forecasts are read: how to read the maps and the glossary.

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