{"schema_version":"1.0","id":"NE-2026-45","internal_id":"L-2026-2556","name":"November Nor'easter 22","aliases":[],"kind":"noreaster","basin":"NATL","status":"active","cycle":"2026-11-11T12:00:00Z","generated_at":"2026-11-11T21:41:30Z","sources":[{"model":"gefs","cycle":"2026-11-11T12:00:00Z","members":31,"provider":"weathernick-tracker","arrived_at":"2026-11-11T17:40:09Z"},{"model":"ifs-ens","cycle":"2026-11-11T12:00:00Z","members":51,"provider":"weathernick-tracker","arrived_at":"2026-11-11T21:33:45Z"},{"model":"aifs-ens","cycle":"2026-11-11T12:00:00Z","members":51,"provider":"weathernick-tracker","arrived_at":"2026-11-11T18:51:02Z"},{"model":"aigefs","cycle":"2026-11-11T12:00:00Z","members":31,"provider":"weathernick-tracker","arrived_at":"2026-11-11T20:25:40Z"},{"model":"geps","cycle":"2026-11-11T12:00:00Z","members":21,"provider":"weathernick-tracker","arrived_at":"2026-11-11T17:24:01Z"}],"headline":{"text":"Likely to pass 10–80 mi from Washington Thu morning; 8 in 10 forecasts bring it within 100 mi","confidence":"low"},"p_storm":0.978,"agreement":0,"trend":{"vs_cycle":"2026-11-11T06:00:00Z","shift_km":11.8,"bearing_deg":130.1,"text":"Little change since 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